Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 14.394916 16.297628 18.457255 21.111147 24.313903 28.092318 32.944608
2025-06-15 11.855103 14.223648 17.141746 21.072244 26.342022 33.338908 43.650958
2025-06-22 10.025946 12.451043 15.591008 20.071977 26.510467 35.787128 50.915824
2025-06-29 8.686946 11.059349 14.244424 18.990701 26.184502 37.249662 56.893713
2025-07-06 7.768721 10.096255 13.317461 18.298579 26.210287 39.120562 63.948301
2025-07-13 7.813982 10.448362 14.252300 20.454158 31.006967 49.850416 91.051625
2025-07-20 7.480201 10.208472 14.271203 21.160521 33.517071 57.220677 114.974196
2025-07-27 6.909652 9.558431 13.584841 20.597430 33.643685 59.986871 129.596041
2025-08-03 6.670269 9.384903 13.619840 21.251992 36.145247 68.361992 163.800773
2025-08-10 6.274618 8.933007 13.156341 20.954981 36.709916 72.590511 188.868436
2025-08-17 5.925873 8.527546 12.730148 20.667202 37.233242 76.879283 217.515656
2025-08-24 5.647860 8.214668 12.430509 20.575854 38.155625 82.481555 256.188606
2025-08-31 5.292911 7.766165 11.884510 19.993952 37.999414 85.497996 289.240439
2025-09-07 5.053885 7.494560 11.627143 19.956804 39.117538 92.673972 352.134342
2025-09-14 4.706857 7.018851 10.968112 19.027496 37.922685 92.441918 375.725193
2025-09-21 4.378582 6.557049 10.303299 18.021495 36.385415 90.709836 389.439470
2025-09-28 4.127134 6.213481 9.831795 17.376787 35.669488 91.557940 423.056382
2025-10-05 4.243507 6.509992 10.560782 19.382725 42.305396 121.528251 767.050266
2025-10-12 4.177397 6.480169 10.670211 20.038817 45.454015 140.656340 1123.646035
2025-10-19 3.980764 6.205401 10.285444 19.515848 45.049551 144.349923 1300.408958
2025-10-26 3.921484 6.175408 10.378027 20.123735 48.230613 166.927955 2014.290967
2025-11-02 3.773267 5.974447 10.115388 19.847966 48.570292 175.691207 2555.268019
2025-11-09 3.635574 5.786236 9.866513 19.580669 48.894106 184.793210 3290.381753